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Pieces like this are exactly why I subscribe. Beautiful.

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UFOs are real, of course.

Take a look at this UFO video:

UFO Video:

One of the World’s Best UFO Videos

(Aerial Footage) –

Tokyo, Japan – Unknown Date

(Recorded by NHK, Japan’s State Broadcaster)

Source: TV UFO Footage (my YouTube Channel)

This is one of the world’s best UFO videos, in my opinion.

The unknown object (white light) which flies slowly over Tokyo – is first seen in the upper left corner of the screen.

When the UFO is closest to the helicopter camera, one can see the body of the large elongated (or circular) UFO, and that it has large red and white pulsating lights (4 lights). The colours of the three blinking/pulsating lights varies between white and red. The largest light (white) does not pulsate.

The UFO seems to stop near the Tokyo Tower for a short while. It appears that the NHK camera operator notices the UFO, because the camera follows the UFO for a short while.

The fact that the video comes from Japan’s state broadcaster means that it is unimpeachable.

The footage comes from NHK World TV’s Aerial Tokyo channel, aired on 13 April 2022, at approximately 7:00 p.m. CET. This channel can be found in the German TV app, TV PRO.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XBVkgxy5yqU

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Years ago when these questions were being asked, one respondent said thus: Well, it's all well and good and fun but what I want to know is whether I have a date on Saturday night. Or: what are the chances human civilization will be extinguished by the year 2100? My response: If we don't change direction we'll arrive where we are headed.

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Wonderful and well articulated piece. Maybe I am not thinking rationally, but isnt the most important question this: Will we on earth ever be able to actually establish communication with another civilization? Presumably all those who favor the existence of life elsewhere say Yes. Am I wrong in this assumption? My amateur status says No. Obviously it would be quite astounding to discover some form of life elsewhere, and important in itself, so exploration is still defensible just for the sake of science.But my admittedly flawed understanding of the laws of physics tell me that we will never establish contact with any sentient life form elsewhere.

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The problem with the Drake equation and its variants is that they are defeated by reductionism. Scientists like to use Occam’s razor to get as simple an answer as possible. But, as H. L. Mencken once wisely observed, “For every complex problem there is an answer that is clear, simple, and wrong.”

A much more reliable method of calculating the odds of another planet having creatures that have technology to send and receive radio signals is to use planet earth as a proxy. That means considering the minimal physical and cultural requirements for any planet to harbor life, the taxonomy needed for a single cell to evolve into intelligent human-like creatures, and the inventions and discoveries necessary to take primitive extraterrestrials to the point where they could invent radios. And most of these are sequential - think house of cards.

Then there are the issues of cultural influence – religion, government, education, economics, the law, and the like -- along with consideration of "near extinction events" (we’ve survived 5 so far.) Those events could alter the pathways taken by evolution so as to allow aliens to have the time to wonder if they are alone in the universe and thereby be inclined to produce and transmit radio signals in hopes of detecting other like-minded "intelligent" species in the universe.

It would also help if there were the equivalents like Pythagoras, Euclid, Archimedes, Galileo, Newton, Faraday, Tesla, Einstein, Edison, and many more on this alien planet,

I have piddled around with such a vastly expanded Drake-like equation to account for most of the factors indicated about. I calculated that the odds, which I consider low, are one in 8.16^47 of detecting the radio signals from another “intelligent” species in the universe. That is to say, the chances of another alien civilization like ours is a little under one in 8.61 trillion, trillion, trillion, trillion. And that doesn’t consider the distance/time differences.

Fermi makes a great point. But, who knows, maybe one day we'll actually hear from E.T.

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Fascinating piece. Great tribute Michael.

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