Was Jesus really raised from the dead?
It's truly astonishing how many billions of people (at least nominally) believe in this miraculous mumbo jumbo. Michael is a brilliant champion of reason and logic against superstition, thanks for your great work!
Bart Ehrman debunks the resurrection: https://youtu.be/3JEiFo0LbjI?feature=shared
Having correct beliefs should make a person and a group of people more evolutionarily fit. The only way to do an experiment on the correctness of beliefs is to see the results of those beliefs. Society with more correct beliefs should increase in membership over the long-term while incorrect beliefs die off. Christianity creates the best societies we have ever seen with the highest standard of living, human flourishing, and had the most members. Using the scientific method on religious beliefs results in people, groups and societies that have worse lives, increased suicide, decreased fertility, etc. The human mind has evolved to believe in religion. I believe that is so because we have supernatural souls that come from God and yearn to reconnect with him. I see no reason to use your epistemology on religion. What evidence would you need to believe in the spirit realm? You even had an experience yourself with the radio on your wedding day. But you explain it away. Open your heart, God wants to reconnect with you.
I appreciate the fact that your approach is Bayesian, but you are clearly not Bayesian enough. Maybe you should read the article from Palonen (2016): "A Bayesian Baseline for Belief in Uncommon Events"
what should we think about the talmud saying Jesus was born of a whore named Mary and of a Roman soldier...... just for starters... also that he is boiling in hot semen?